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Peer Review and Bias

Effect of Institutional Prestige on Reviewers' Recommendations and Editorial Decisions

(JAMA. 1994;272:137-138)

Joseph M. Garfunkel, MD; Martin H. Ulshen, MD; Harvey J. Hamrick, MD; Edward E. Lawson, MD

Objective.--To determine whether manuscripts from institutions with greater prestige are more likely to be recommended for publication by reviewers and to be accepted for publication.

Design.--Retrospective study of reviewers' recommendations and editorial decisions for manuscripts from the United States received at the Journal of Pediatrics between January 1 and July 31, 1992. Manuscripts were classified as major papers or as brief reports. Institutions were ranked in quintiles according to the monetary value of grants funded by the National Institutes of Health. Reviewers' recommendations were classified as reject, reconsider, or accept, and editorial decisions as accept or reject, without regard to qualifying recommendations.

Results.--For the 147 brief reports, lower institutional rank was associated with lower rates of recommendation for acceptance and of selection for publication. For the 258 major papers, however, there was no significant relationship between institutional rank and either the reviewers' recommendations or the acceptance rate. Similar results were found when the manuscripts were divided into five numerically equal groups according to institutional rank.

Conclusions.--Major manuscripts from institutions with greater prestige were no more likely to be recommended or accepted for publication than those from institutions with lesser prestige. In contrast, the likelihood of recommendation for acceptance and of selection for publication of brief reports appeared to correlate with the prestige of the institution.

(JAMA. 1994;272:137-138)


RESEARCHERS, particularly those with relatively little experience, have long suspected that papers are more likely to be recommended by reviewers for publication, and accepted by editors, if they originate from larger, better-known institutions. As an example, this suspicion has been supported by the oft-quoted study of Peters and Ceci,[1] who changed the authors' names and institutions on previously accepted papers and had them rereviewed as if they were new submissions. Most of the reviewers recommended rejection, not having recognized that the papers had already been published. Others have found less evidence of bias (reviewed by Lock[2]). Blinding of reviewers to the origins of a paper has been recommended[3] and is currently the normal practice for some journals. However, blinding is not always successful, and some reviewers believe that they are denied important information regarding the validity of the findings if they do not know the identity of the authors and where the work was done.[4]

We therefore decided to determine whether manuscripts received at the Journal of Pediatrics from institutions with greater prestige are more likely to be recommended for publication by reviewers, and more likely to be accepted for publication, than are manuscripts from institutions of lower prestige.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Institutional prestige was determined according to the monetary value of research and training grants and contracts funded by the National Institutes of Health (determined according to the Summary of National Institutes of Health Fiscal Year 1991 Extramural Awards to Medical Schools by Rank of Institution and Activity). One hundred twenty-five medical schools were ranked into quintiles, each containing 25 institutions. Manuscripts received from hospitals with an institutional affiliation noted on the letterhead, or from authors who cited an academic appointment at a medical school, were included with the manuscripts from the parent institution. Those from the National Institutes of Health were ranked in the top 25, and those from unaffiliated institutions in the last 25. Manuscripts were received from 64 medical schools and affiliates, the National Institutes of Health, and six unaffiliated institutions.

The study was done retrospectively so as to avoid the potential for bias in the selection of papers for publication by an editorial staff aware that a study was in progress. We included all manuscripts from the United States that were received between January 1 and July 31, 1992. Manuscripts received from outside the United States (43% of the total) were not included because we had no objective way to assess institutional prestige. Manuscripts were classified as either major papers (case series, reports of clinical or laboratory research, epidemiologic studies, and the like) or brief reports (case reports and similar short papers submitted for our Clinical and Laboratory Observations section, which are restricted to 1000 words and one or two tables and figures). Reviewers' recommendations were classified as "reject," "reconsider with revision," or "accept," and editorial decisions as "accept" or "reject." Manuscripts recommended for publication or accepted subject to revision were included in the "accept" categories.

The association between institutional rank and editorial decision was assessed with a Mantel-Haenszel correlation chi2 statistic. Fisher's Exact Test was used for comparisons with small sample sizes. We also examined the power of the study to identify a significant difference. We used SAS for all analyses.

RESULTS

For the 147 brief reports, lower institutional rank was associated with lower rates of recommendation for acceptance by reviewers (P<.001; Figure 1). The acceptance rate for the highest quintile was 32%, compared with 6% and 11% for the fourth and fifth quintiles, respectively (P=.004). For the 258 major papers, however, there was no significant relationship between institutional rank and either the reviewers' recommendations (P=.409) or the acceptance rate (P=.508; Figure 2). Reviewers had opposing recommendations for 15 brief reports and 27 major papers. These numbers were too small for meaningful analysis, but the editorial decisions showed no evidence of prejudice in favor of the larger institutions.

For the editor's decision to accept or reject, we examined the power of the study to detect a significant difference by comparing the top-ranked group with the last three groups, providing a sample size of approximately 100 in each group. The power to detect a difference of 20% between the two groups was approximately 85%, with a significance level of .05.

Institutions in the highest quintile submitted the greatest number of manuscripts and, therefore, had the greatest number of manuscripts accepted (Figure 3). Because more manuscripts are received from institutions of higher rank, we repeated the analyses by dividing the number of manuscripts into five approximately equal groups. The results of these analyses were the same (data not shown); for the brief reports there was a significant association between institutional rank and reviewers' recommendations (P<.001) and between institutional rank and editorial decision (P=.008). By contrast, for the major papers there was no relationship between institutional prestige and either reviewers' recommendations or editorial decisions (P=.771).

COMMENT

A quarter of a century ago, Merton[5] noted that allocation of research resources was often uneven and that investigators with successful records were more likely to receive grants, get adequate research space, and otherwise receive support that made further success more likely. He also noted several examples indicating that better-known scientists were more likely to receive recognition for work similar to that of other researchers. Because of their high standards and productivity, these individuals had less need to publish all of their work, but could confine their writing to their better efforts. Because of their prestige and their facilities, they attracted bright young colleagues, who then produced work of their own, often including the name of the senior investigator among the authors--a practice that young investigators in smaller institutions believe enhances the chance for acceptance of a manuscript.

Prestigious investigators and their teams tend to congregate in large, well-funded research universities, and prestigious departments of pediatrics tend to be associated with these institutions. We chose to base our study on the institution of origin because there was available a reasonably objective measure of prestige--the allocation of research and training grants and contracts by the National Institutes of Health. When we applied that criterion and evaluated reviewers' recommendations and editorial decisions with respect to substantive research work, we found that these did not correlate with institutional rank. For brief papers, such as case reports, however, we did find a significant relationship between institutional rank and both recommendations for acceptance and the editorial decision to accept. One possible explanation for this observation is that there is a lack of pressure to publish minor work from major institutions and, therefore, brief papers submitted from them are likely to be of better quality. In contrast, investigators in the smaller schools, finding it necessary to "publish or perish" but without access to research facilities, and with limited opportunities to work with established investigators, are more likely to submit brief reports of lesser quality.

Although we found no tendency at our journal to accept a greater percentage of major papers from more prestigious institutions than from less prestigious institutions, we cannot state unequivocally that the manuscripts were treated equally, as we did not evaluate the quality of individual papers. Nevertheless, if our experience can be confirmed by similar studies at other journals, young investigators may feel less threatened by what they currently perceive as a bias of the peer review system in favor of manuscripts submitted from "name" institutions.


From the Department of Pediatrics, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, and Journal of Pediatrics, Chapel Hill.

Presented at the Second International Congress on Peer Review in Biomedical Publication, Chicago, Ill, September 11, 1993.

Address correspondence to Journal of Pediatrics, CBN 7230, Medical School Wing C, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-7230 (Dr Garfunkel).


References

1. Peters DP, Ceci SJ. Peer-review practices of psychological journals: the fate of published articles, submitted again. Behav Brain Sci. 1982;5:187-255.

2. Lock S: A Difficult Balance. Philadelphia, Pa: ISI Press; 1986:26-30.

3. McNutt RA, Evans AT, Fletcher RH, Fletcher SW. The effects of blinding on the quality of peer review: a randomized trial. JAMA. 1990;263:1371-1376.

4. Yankauer A. How blind is blind review? Am J Public Health. 1991;81:843-845.

5. Merton RK. The Matthew effect in science. Science. 1968;159:56-63.

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